John Carlson

Tampa Bay Lightning · D · #74

CHI @ TB · Live

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price +1003 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

30%3 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 at home).

at NYI, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 20.7 min
at NYR, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 19.9 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 21.6 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 18.4 min
at VGK, 2026-10-20: 1, cleared, 17.8 min
at COL, 2026-10-23: 0, missed, 18.3 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 21.7 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-29: 1, cleared, 13.2 min
at NSH, 2026-10-31: 2, cleared, 19.2 min
vs DET, 2026-11-03: 0, missed, 16.5 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different yesterday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayOpposing goalie
Arvid Soderblom (Confirmed)
Saves: 268 of 307 (.873) over his last 10 games · 1 of CHI's last 10 starts · Spencer Knight started 9
YesterdayDefense vs defensemen
CHI allow 2.94 points a game to defensemen: 2nd most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 2.50, 7th most
Teammate out
Yanni Gourde: Injured Reserve (hip)
Over 0.5 without him: 6 of 14; with him: no games (14 games as teammates)
Time on ice
Last 5: 17.8 min · 2026–27: 19 (14 games)
Power play: 2.2 min last 5 · 3.5 2026–27

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CHI in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against CHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Nikita KucherovRW
Brandon HagelLW
Jake GuentzelC
Yanni GourdeCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Lightning count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CHI

Carlson didn't play the Jan 23 meeting; points the last time Carlson faced them: 2 (Jan 9)

Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against CHI on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 50%; at +100
Books’ fair: 45%; margin removed
Time on ice: 18.7; 10 games · 23.3 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 45%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1003 books	−1502 books	3/10
	+4502 books	—	1/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings11 hr ago	+110Best	−150
Pinnacle11 hr ago	+100	−135Best
Bally Bet11 hr ago	−105	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

−108 → +100 since first seen

John Carlson's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:09 PM ET.