Jesper Bratt

New Jersey Devils · LW · #63

NJ @ NYI · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1757 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).

vs NYR, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 15.8 min
at WSH, 2026-10-17: 3, cleared, 18.8 min
vs COL, 2026-10-20: 2, cleared, 13.8 min
vs ANA, 2026-10-22: 2, cleared, 15.5 min
vs LA, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 17.3 min
at DAL, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 16.6 min
at COL, 2026-10-28: 2, cleared, 16.8 min
at VGK, 2026-10-30: 0, missed, 15.6 min
vs EDM, 2026-11-03: 4, cleared, 20.2 min
vs STL, 2026-11-05: 2, cleared, 17.6 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 shots on goal.

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Opposing goalie
Ilya Sorokin (Expected)
Saves: 244 of 268 (.910) over his last 10 games · 6 of NYI's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
NYI allow 20.2 shots on goal a game to forwards: 17th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 20.6, 14th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 17.4 min · 2026–27: 17.4 (16 games)
Power play: 3.6 min last 5 · 3.4 2026–27
Rest
1 day off since Nov 5 vs STL

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NYI in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 4 of 10 against NYI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Jack HughesC
Nico HischierC
Connor BrownRW

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Devils count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NYI

Shots on Goal: 2 in 15.9 min, Oct 3 (away)

Over 1.5 hit in 4 of 10 games against NYI on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 64%; at −175
Books’ fair: 59%; margin removed
Our chance: 62%; estimate · fair −161

Research, not a pick. At −168 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −161, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−9003 books	—	6/10
−1757 books	+1255 books	6/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	2/10
+1783 books	—	2/10
+4503 books	—	1/10
+10001 book	—	0/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
FanDuel2 min ago	−168Best	—
Bovada1 min ago	−170	+130Best
DraftKings1 min ago	−170	+125
Pinnacle1 min ago	−175	+130Best
Bally Bet1 min ago	−180	+125
betPARX2 min ago	−180	+125
BetRivers2 min ago	−180	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:06 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: No move since first seen

Jesper Bratt's full game log and splits