Jesper Bratt

New Jersey Devils · LW · #63

EDM @ NJ · Today 7:30 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −1657 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Opposing goalie
Tristan Jarry (Confirmed)
Saves: 218 of 245 (.890) over his last 10 games · 5 of EDM's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
EDM allow 5.87 points a game to forwards: 22nd most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 5.20, 26th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 16.4 min · 2026–27: 17.2 (14 games)
Power play: 3.1 min last 5 · 3.3 2026–27
Rest
3 days off since Oct 30 at VGK

50%5 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

vs OTT, 2026-10-12: 0, missed, 17.2 min
at DET, 2026-10-13: 3, cleared, 20.3 min
vs NYR, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 15.8 min
at WSH, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 18.8 min
vs COL, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 13.8 min
vs ANA, 2026-10-22: 2, cleared, 15.5 min
vs LA, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 17.3 min
at DAL, 2026-10-27: 1, cleared, 16.6 min
at COL, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 16.8 min
at VGK, 2026-10-30: 1, cleared, 15.6 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 points.

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against EDM in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 3 of 4 against EDM on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Jack HughesC
Arseny GritsyukRW
Nico HischierC

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Devils count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs EDM

Points: 0 in 17.2 min, Jan 20 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against EDM on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 62%; at −165
Books’ fair: 58%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −134

Research, not a pick. At −160 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −134, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1657 books	+1252 books	5/10
+2806 books	—	2/10
+9006 books	—	1/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Pinnacle3 min ago	−160Best	+120
FanDuel3 min ago	−164	—
Bally Bet3 min ago	−165	—
betPARX2 min ago	−165	—
BetRivers2 min ago	−165	—
Bovada3 min ago	−168	—
DraftKings10 min ago	−175	+130Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:46 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over −175 → −165 since first seen

Jesper Bratt's full game log and splits