Jason Robertson

Dallas Stars · LW · #21

DAL @ WSH · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1602 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightTeammate out
Matt Duchene: Injured Reserve (abdomen)
Over 2.5 without him: 29 of 39; with him: 42 of 74 (113 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Oskar Back: Injured Reserve (finger)
Over 2.5 without him: 15 of 23; with him: 56 of 90 (113 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Logan Thompson started WSH's last game
Saves: 253 of 279 (.907) over his last 10 games · 7 of WSH's last 10 starts · no probable starter posted yet
Defense vs forwards
WSH allow 20.8 shots on goal a game to forwards: 9th most of 32
13 games · last 10 games: 20.3, 14th most

71%10 of 14L20 · Without Duchene

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 10 of 14 games without Matt Duchene (his last 20 games).

vs MIN, 2026-04-18: 6, cleared, 19.9 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-04-20: 5, cleared, 16.6 min (not counted)
at MIN, 2026-04-22: 5, cleared, 29.1 min (not counted)
at MIN, 2026-04-25: 7, cleared, 25.2 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-04-28: 5, cleared, 24.1 min (not counted)
at MIN, 2026-04-30: 2, missed, 24.8 min (not counted)
vs STL, 2026-10-02: 2, missed, 19.7 min
at NSH, 2026-10-03: 1, missed, 18.8 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-05: 4, cleared, 17.8 min
at BUF, 2026-10-08: 4, cleared, 15.2 min
at PIT, 2026-10-10: 3, cleared, 21.6 min
vs COL, 2026-10-13: 2, missed, 22.3 min
at COL, 2026-10-14: 3, cleared, 22.4 min
at CHI, 2026-10-17: 7, cleared, 19.6 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-20: 3, cleared, 23.6 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-22: 4, cleared, 21.7 min
vs NYI, 2026-10-25: 3, cleared, 19 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-27: 3, cleared, 18.9 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-29: 4, cleared, 21.5 min
vs CBJ, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 16.6 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 2.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against WSH in his last 20; Over 2.5 cleared in 0 of 4 against WSH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L20

Mikko RantanenRW
Matt DucheneCInjured Reserve
Miro HeiskanenD
Oskar BackCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Stars count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs WSH

Shots on Goal: 1 in 18.1 min, Jan 7 (away)

Over 2.5 hit in 0 of 4 games against WSH on record

L20 · Without Duchene · Over 2.5

Average: 3.1; +0.6 vs line
Median: 3; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 71%; 10 of 14
Price implies: 62%; at −160
Books’ fair: 57%; margin removed
Time on ice: 19.9; 14 games · 20.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 57%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Duchene

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−25001 book	—	14/14
−4501 book	—	12/14
−1602 books	+1192 books	10/14
+1422 books	−1901 book	5/14
+3201 book	—	1/14
+6501 book	—	1/14
+14001 book	—	1/14

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
DraftKings3 hr ago	−155Best	+115
Pinnacle3 hr ago	−165	+124Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

3.5 → 2.5 since first seen

Jason Robertson's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.