Jake DeBrusk

Vancouver Canucks · LW · #74

ANA @ VAN · Today 9:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1277 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightOpposing goalie
Laurent Brossoit (Confirmed)
Saves: 37 of 45 (.822) over his last 2 games · 1 of ANA's last 10 starts · Lukas Dostal started 5
Teammate out
Filip Chytil: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 2.5 without him: 41 of 76; with him: 14 of 19 (95 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
ANA allow 20.9 shots on goal a game to forwards: 8th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 22.6, 6th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 17.5 min · 2026–27: 16.5 (14 games)
Power play: 4.1 min last 5 · 3.4 2026–27

90%9 of 10L10

Under 2.5 Shots on Goal hit in 9 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 at home).

at NYR, 2026-10-11: 1, hit, 12.4 min
at NYI, 2026-10-13: 2, hit, 17.2 min
at FLA, 2026-10-15: 2, hit, 16.9 min
at TB, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 16.5 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-20: 1, hit, 13.6 min
vs DET, 2026-10-22: 2, hit, 17.9 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-25: 0, hit, 14.2 min
at ANA, 2026-10-27: 3, missed, 21.7 min
at SJ, 2026-10-29: 2, hit, 16.1 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-31: 2, hit, 17.4 min

Under hitMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–4 shots on goal.

Splits

Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 2.5 · L10

Elias PetterssonC
Filip HronekD
Brock BoeserRW
Filip ChytilCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Canucks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ANA

Shots on Goal: 3 in 21.7 min, Oct 27 (away)

Under 2.5 hit in 5 of 9 games against ANA on record

L10 · Under 2.5

Average: 1.5; −1 vs line
Median: 2; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 90%; 9 of 10
Price implies: 56%; at −127
Books’ fair: 53%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −138

Research, not a pick. At −120 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −138, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−16502 books	—	2/10
−3253 books	—	4/10
−1057 books	−1276 books	9/10
+2403 books	—	10/10
+5503 books	—	10/10
+11001 book	—	10/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
betPARX1 min ago	−117	−120Best
Bally Bet3 min ago	−114	−121
FanDuel5 min ago	−104	−125
DraftKings5 min ago	−105	−130
Pinnacle3 min ago	+100	−134
Bovada2 min ago	+115Best	−150
BetRivers1 min ago	−117	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 4:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Under −128 → −127 since first seen

Jake DeBrusk's full game log and splits