Jaden Schwartz

Colorado Avalanche · C · #71

COL @ CBJ · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

—2 pick'em apps, no priceUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightRest · back-to-back
Avalanche played last night (at CHI): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Josh Manson: Out (ankle)
Under 0.5 without him: 1 of 2; with him: 8 of 13 (15 games as teammates). A small sample.
Opposing goalie
Cam Talbot (Confirmed)
Saves: 178 of 207 (.860) over his last 10 games · 5 of CBJ's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
CBJ allow 6.83 points a game to forwards: 10th most of 32
12 games · last 10 games: 6.70, 11th most

70%7 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Points hit in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

at DAL, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 13 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-14: 0, hit, 13.8 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-16: 0, hit, 14.1 min
at PHI, 2026-10-19: 0, hit, 16.5 min
at NJ, 2026-10-20: 0, hit, 18.3 min
vs TB, 2026-10-23: 1, missed, 13.1 min
at NSH, 2026-10-25: 0, hit, 15.2 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-28: 2, missed, 10.9 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-31: 0, hit, 14.6 min
at CHI, 2026-11-02: 2, missed, 15.4 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 lineTime on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 points.

Count only

Under 0.5 · L10

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Nathan MacKinnonC
Martin NecasC
Devon ToewsD
Josh MansonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Avalanche count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CBJ

Schwartz didn't play the Jan 10 meeting; points the last time Schwartz faced them: 0 (Nov 11, 2025)

Under 0.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against CBJ on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: —; 2 pick'em apps, no price
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −133

Research, not a pick. No sportsbook prices the Under 0.5 right now; it's posted on 2 pick'em apps. Our fair price is −133.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1403 books	pick'em only	7/10
	+7003 books	—	8/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet2 min ago	+140Best	—
betPARX1 min ago	+140Best	—
BetRivers1 min ago	+140Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 1:29 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Jaden Schwartz's full game log and splits