Jackson Blake

Carolina Hurricanes · RW · #53

CHI @ CAR · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1387 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 2.5 Shots on Goal hit in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 3 at home).

at WPG, 2026-10-17: 4, missed, 20.2 min
at CGY, 2026-10-18: 2, hit, 16.9 min
at VAN, 2026-10-20: 5, missed, 20.5 min
at EDM, 2026-10-22: 4, missed, 17.6 min
at STL, 2026-10-24: 1, hit, 17.2 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-27: 4, missed, 16.8 min
vs CBJ, 2026-10-29: 1, hit, 16.8 min
vs WPG, 2026-11-01: 1, hit, 15 min
at NSH, 2026-11-03: 1, hit, 19.5 min
at NYI, 2026-11-05: 2, hit, 16.4 min

Under hitMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–5 shots on goal.

What's different today

Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayDefense vs forwards
CHI allow 22.7 shots on goal a game to forwards: 2nd most of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 23.5, 3rd most
Teammate out
Jordan Staal: Injured Reserve (calf)
Under 2.5 without him: 10 of 19; with him: 66 of 108 (127 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Spencer Knight (Expected)
Saves: 272 of 305 (.892) over his last 10 games · 8 of CHI's last 10 starts
Time on ice
Last 5: 16.9 min · 2026–27: 17.9 (18 games)
Power play: 3.1 min last 5 · 4.2 2026–27

Splits

Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CHI in his last 10; Under 2.5 hit in 3 of 5 against CHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 2.5 · L10

Sebastian AhoC
Andrei SvechnikovLW
Logan StankovenC
Jordan StaalCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hurricanes count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CHI

Shots on Goal: 2 in 15.9 min, Oct 10 (away)

Under 2.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against CHI on record

L10 · Under 2.5

Average: 2.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 2; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 58%; at −138
Books’ fair: 54%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −128

Research, not a pick. At −120 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −128, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−20003 books	—	0/10
−3153 books	—	4/10
+1027 books	−1386 books	6/10
+2403 books	—	6/10
+5103 books	—	9/10
+12001 book	—	10/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
FanDuel5 min ago	−108	−120Best
Bovada5 min ago	+105Best	−135
DraftKings6 min ago	+100	−135
Pinnacle6 min ago	+104	−138
Bally Bet6 min ago	+102	−148
betPARX7 min ago	+102	−148
BetRivers5 min ago	+102	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:05 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Under: −118 → −138 since first seen

Jackson Blake's full game log and splits