Jackson Blake

Carolina Hurricanes · RW · #53

CAR @ NYI · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1556 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 2.5 Shots on Goal hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).

vs WSH, 2026-10-13: 1, hit, 18.3 min
at WPG, 2026-10-17: 4, missed, 20.2 min
at CGY, 2026-10-18: 2, hit, 16.9 min
at VAN, 2026-10-20: 5, missed, 20.5 min
at EDM, 2026-10-22: 4, missed, 17.6 min
at STL, 2026-10-24: 1, hit, 17.2 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-27: 4, missed, 16.8 min
vs CBJ, 2026-10-29: 1, hit, 16.8 min
vs WPG, 2026-11-01: 1, hit, 15 min
at NSH, 2026-11-03: 1, hit, 19.5 min

Under hitMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–5 shots on goal.

What's different today

Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayOpposing goalie
Semyon Varlamov (Confirmed)
Saves: 81 of 91 (.890) over his last 4 games · 3 of NYI's last 10 starts · Ilya Sorokin started 7
Teammate out
Jordan Staal: Injured Reserve (calf)
Under 2.5 without him: 9 of 18; with him: 67 of 109 (127 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
NYI allow 19.4 shots on goal a game to forwards: 20th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 19.3, 19th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 17.1 min · 2026–27: 18 (17 games)
Power play: 2.9 min last 5 · 4.3 2026–27

Splits

Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NYI in his last 10; Under 2.5 hit in 4 of 7 against NYI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 2.5 · L10

Sebastian AhoC
Nikolaj EhlersLW
Logan StankovenC
Jordan StaalCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hurricanes count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NYI

Shots on Goal: 4 in 13 min, Apr 14 (away)

Under 2.5 hit in 4 of 7 games against NYI on record

L10 · Under 2.5

Average: 2.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 1.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 61%; at −155
Books’ fair: 56%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −133

Research, not a pick. At −150 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −133, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−18002 books	—	0/10
−2802 books	—	5/10
+1106 books	−1555 books	6/10
+2702 books	—	6/10
+6701 book	—	9/10
+13001 book	—	10/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
DraftKings7 min ago	+110	−150Best
FanDuel3 min ago	+116	−152
Bally Bet7 min ago	+110	−155
betPARX5 min ago	+110	−155
Pinnacle7 min ago	+120Best	−156
BetRivers4 min ago	+110	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:23 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Under isn't priced at 2.5 right now.

Jackson Blake's full game log and splits