Jackson Blake

Carolina Hurricanes · RW · #53

CAR @ NSH · Tue, Nov 3 8:00 PM

Over Under2.5

—1 pick'em app, no priceUpdated

What's different yesterday

Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Taylor Hall: Out (upper body)
Under 2.5 without him: 4 of 9; with him: 71 of 117 (126 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jordan Staal: Injured Reserve (calf)
Under 2.5 without him: 8 of 17; with him: 67 of 109 (126 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Juuse Saros (Confirmed)
Saves: 278 of 308 (.903) over his last 10 games · 7 of NSH's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
NSH allow 20.7 shots on goal a game to forwards: 10th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 19.2, 21st most

50%5 of 10L10

Under 2.5 Shots on Goal hit in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 on the road).

at PHI, 2026-10-11: 4, missed, 20.4 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-13: 1, hit, 18.3 min
at WPG, 2026-10-17: 4, missed, 20.2 min
at CGY, 2026-10-18: 2, hit, 16.9 min
at VAN, 2026-10-20: 5, missed, 20.5 min
at EDM, 2026-10-22: 4, missed, 17.6 min
at STL, 2026-10-24: 1, hit, 17.2 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-27: 4, missed, 16.8 min
vs CBJ, 2026-10-29: 1, hit, 16.8 min
vs WPG, 2026-11-01: 1, hit, 15 min

Under hitMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 1–5 shots on goal.

Splits

Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NSH in his last 10; Under 2.5 hit in 1 of 4 against NSH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 2.5 · L10

Sebastian AhoC
Nikolaj EhlersLW
Andrei SvechnikovLW
Taylor HallLWOut
Jordan StaalCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Hurricanes count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NSH

Shots on Goal: 4 in 16.5 min, Dec 17, 2025 (away)

Under 2.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against NSH on record

L10 · Under 2.5

Average: 2.7; +0.2 vs line
Median: 3; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: —; 1 pick'em app, no price
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −130

Research, not a pick. No sportsbook prices the Under 2.5 right now; it's posted on 1 pick'em app. Our fair price is −130.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	pick'em only	pick'em only	5/10

Compare 1 pick'em app at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Under isn't priced at 2.5 right now.

Jackson Blake's full game log and splits

This page last updated 8:09 PM ET.