Jackson Blake
CAR @ NYI · Today 7:00 PMGame log against Over 0.5
80%8 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Points cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.
What's different today
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayOpposing goalie
Semyon Varlamov (Confirmed)
Saves: 81 of 91 (.890) over his last 4 games · 3 of NYI's last 10 starts · Ilya Sorokin started 7
Teammate out
Jordan Staal: Injured Reserve (calf)
Over 0.5 without him: 11 of 18; with him: 57 of 109 (127 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
NYI allow 5.50 points a game to forwards: 26th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 5.80, 22nd most
Time on ice
Last 5: 17.1 min · 2026–27: 18 (17 games)
Power play: 2.9 min last 5 · 4.3 2026–27
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against NYI in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 2 of 7 against NYI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 0.5 · L10Sebastian AhoC
Nikolaj EhlersLW
Logan StankovenC
Jordan StaalCInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hurricanes count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs NYI
Points: 0 in 13 min, Apr 14 (away)
Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 7 games against NYI on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Median
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 8 of 10
- Price implies
- 59%
- at −145
- Books’ fair
- 56%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 62%
- estimate · fair −161
Research, not a pick. At −143 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −161, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1456 books | +1102 books | 8/10 | |
| +3305 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +11002 books | — | 1/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet9 min ago | −143Best | — |
| betPARX5 min ago | −143Best | — |
| BetRivers5 min ago | −143Best | — |
| Pinnacle9 min ago | −145 | +110Best |
| DraftKings9 min ago | −150 | +110Best |
| FanDuel5 min ago | −166 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 1:02 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5−142 → −145 since first seen


