Jack Roslovic

Toronto Maple Leafs · C · #96

UTAH @ TOR · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −1346 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightTeammate out
John Tavares: Out (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 6 of 9; with him: 5 of 7 (16 games as teammates)
TonightOpposing goalie
Sebastian Cossa (Confirmed)
Saves: 54 of 65 (.831) over his last 4 games · 2 of UTAH's last 10 starts · Karel Vejmelka started 8
Teammate out
Kirill Marchenko: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 2 of 2; with him: 9 of 14 (16 games as teammates). A small sample.
Teammate out
Max Domi: Injured Reserve (back)
Over 0.5 without him: 11 of 16; with him: no games (16 games as teammates)

67%6 of 9L20 · Without Tavares

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 6 of 9 games without John Tavares (his last 20 games).

at ANA, 2026-04-24: 0, missed, 14.8 min (not counted)
at ANA, 2026-04-26: 0, missed, 13.3 min (not counted)
vs ANA, 2026-04-28: 0, missed, 12.3 min (not counted)
at ANA, 2026-04-30: 0, missed, 14.4 min (not counted)
vs MTL, 2026-09-29: 0, missed, 18.2 min (not counted)
vs NYI, 2026-09-30: 1, cleared, 14.9 min (not counted)
vs OTT, 2026-10-03: 0, missed, 14.8 min (not counted)
vs NSH, 2026-10-06: 2, cleared, 17.8 min (not counted)
at VGK, 2026-10-08: 1, cleared, 17.5 min (not counted)
at COL, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 15.4 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-13: 1, cleared, 17.6 min (not counted)
vs BUF, 2026-10-15: 1, cleared, 19.1 min (not counted)
vs NYI, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 15.9 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-19: 0, missed, 15.2 min
at CBJ, 2026-10-20: 3, cleared, 15.7 min
vs NYR, 2026-10-22: 1, cleared, 16 min
at EDM, 2026-10-24: 2, cleared, 15.6 min
at CGY, 2026-10-26: 1, cleared, 18.7 min
at SEA, 2026-10-28: 2, cleared, 17.5 min
at VAN, 2026-10-31: 1, cleared, 17.7 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 points.

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

William NylanderRW
Auston MatthewsC
John TavaresCOut
Kirill MarchenkoRWInjured Reserve
Max DomiCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Maple Leafs count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs UTAH

Points: 1 in 17.6 min, Oct 13 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 6 games against UTAH on record

L20 · Without Tavares · Over 0.5

Average: 1.1; +0.6 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 67%; 6 of 9
Price implies: 57%; at −134
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −145

Research, not a pick. At −115 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −145, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Tavares

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−1346 books	−1102 books	6/9
+3405 books	—	3/9
+14001 book	—	1/9

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings6 min ago	−115Best	−115
Pinnacle1 min ago	−126	−105Best
Bally Bet1 min ago	−134	—
betPARX1 min ago	−134	—
BetRivers2 min ago	−134	—
FanDuel2 min ago	−138	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:43 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over −130 → −134 since first seen

Jack Roslovic's full game log and splits