Jack Roslovic

Toronto Maple Leafs · C · #96

UTAH @ TOR · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −1375 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Teammate on the injury report

John TavaresInjured Reserve · lower body

Without him: Over 0.5 in 6 of 9; with him: 5 of 7 (his last 20 games).

67%6 of 9L20 · Without Tavares

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 6 of 9 games without John Tavares (his last 20 games).

at ANA, 2026-04-24: 0, missed, 14.8 min (not counted)
at ANA, 2026-04-26: 0, missed, 13.3 min (not counted)
vs ANA, 2026-04-28: 0, missed, 12.3 min (not counted)
at ANA, 2026-04-30: 0, missed, 14.4 min (not counted)
vs MTL, 2026-09-29: 0, missed, 18.2 min (not counted)
vs NYI, 2026-09-30: 1, cleared, 14.9 min (not counted)
vs OTT, 2026-10-03: 0, missed, 14.8 min (not counted)
vs NSH, 2026-10-06: 2, cleared, 17.8 min (not counted)
at VGK, 2026-10-08: 1, cleared, 17.5 min (not counted)
at COL, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 15.4 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-13: 1, cleared, 17.6 min (not counted)
vs BUF, 2026-10-15: 1, cleared, 19.1 min (not counted)
vs NYI, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 15.9 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-19: 0, missed, 15.2 min
at CBJ, 2026-10-20: 3, cleared, 15.7 min
vs NYR, 2026-10-22: 1, cleared, 16 min
at EDM, 2026-10-24: 2, cleared, 15.6 min
at CGY, 2026-10-26: 1, cleared, 18.7 min
at SEA, 2026-10-28: 2, cleared, 17.5 min
at VAN, 2026-10-31: 1, cleared, 17.7 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineTime on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 points.

Count only

Over 0.5 · L20

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

William NylanderRW
Auston MatthewsC
John TavaresCInjured Reserve
Kirill MarchenkoRWInjured Reserve
Max DomiCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Maple Leafs count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Matchup · 15 games

UTAH allow 6.47 points a game to forwards: 15th most of 32

Rest

2 days off since Oct 31 at VAN

Last vs UTAH

Points: 1 in 17.6 min, Oct 13 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 6 games against UTAH on record

L20 · Without Tavares · Over 0.5

Average: 1.1; +0.6 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 67%; 6 of 9
Price implies: 58%; at −137
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −146

Research, not a pick. At −125 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −146, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Tavares

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−1375 books	−1101 book	6/9
+3405 books	—	3/9
+12001 book	—	1/9

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings4 min ago	−125Best	−110Best
FanDuel4 min ago	−130	—
Bally Bet4 min ago	−137	—
betPARX3 min ago	−137	—
BetRivers4 min ago	−137	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:03 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over −130 → −137 since first seen