Jack Hughes

New Jersey Devils · C · #86

STL @ NJ · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Under 1.5 Points, typical price −2002 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Under 1.5 Points hit in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

at DET, 2026-10-13: 3, missed, 23.5 min
vs NYR, 2026-10-15: 1, hit, 17.6 min
at WSH, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 22.7 min
vs COL, 2026-10-20: 0, hit, 16.9 min
vs ANA, 2026-10-22: 2, missed, 18.8 min
vs LA, 2026-10-24: 1, hit, 19.3 min
at DAL, 2026-10-27: 2, missed, 19.7 min
at COL, 2026-10-28: 0, hit, 20.6 min
at VGK, 2026-10-30: 2, missed, 17.3 min
vs EDM, 2026-11-03: 3, missed, 25.3 min

Under hitMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 points.

What's different today

Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Opposing goalie
Joel Hofer (Expected)
Saves: 266 of 292 (.911) over his last 10 games · 8 of STL's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
STL allow 6.40 points a game to forwards: 15th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 6.30, 15th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 20.4 min · 2026–27: 20.5 (15 games)
Power play: 3.8 min last 5 · 3.6 2026–27
Rest
1 day off since Nov 3 vs EDM

Splits

Under 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against STL in his last 10; Under 1.5 hit in 3 of 4 against STL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 1.5 · L10

Jesper BrattLW
Arseny GritsyukRW
Nico HischierC

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Devils count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs STL

Points: 1 in 16.1 min, Feb 28 (away)

Under 1.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against STL on record

L10 · Under 1.5

Average: 1.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 1.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 67%; at −200
Books’ fair: 62%; margin removed
Our chance: 62%; estimate · fair −164

Research, not a pick. At −200 the price is worse than our fair −164, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3201 book	—	3/10
+1452 books	−2001 book	5/10
+4752 books	—	8/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings16 min ago	+145	−200Best
FanDuel3 min ago	+158Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Under isn't priced at 1.5 right now.

Jack Hughes's full game log and splits