Jack Hughes
STL @ NJ · Today 7:00 PMGame log against Under 1.5
50%5 of 10L10
Under 1.5 Points hit in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 points.
What's different today
Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayOpposing goalie
Jordan Binnington (Confirmed)
Saves: 199 of 230 (.865) over his last 10 games · 2 of STL's last 10 starts · Joel Hofer started 8
Defense vs forwards
STL allow 6.40 points a game to forwards: 15th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 6.30, 15th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 20.4 min · 2026–27: 20.5 (15 games)
Power play: 3.8 min last 5 · 3.6 2026–27
Rest
1 day off since Nov 3 vs EDM
Splits
Under 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against STL in his last 10; Under 1.5 hit in 3 of 4 against STL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 1.5 · L10Jesper BrattLW
Arseny GritsyukRW
Nico HischierC
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Devils count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs STL
Points: 1 in 16.1 min, Feb 28 (away)
Under 1.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against STL on record
L10 · Under 1.5
- Average
- 1.4
- −0.1 vs line
- Median
- 1.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 66%
- at −190
- Books’ fair
- 61%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 62%
- estimate · fair −161
Research, not a pick. At −190 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −161, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2956 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +1557 books | −1902 books | 5/10 | |
| +4606 books | — | 8/10 | |
| +14001 book | — | 10/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings2 min ago | +140 | −190Best |
| Pinnacle2 min ago | +140 | −190Best |
| Bally Bet2 min ago | +155 | — |
| betPARX2 min ago | +155 | — |
| BetRivers2 min ago | +155 | — |
| Bovada2 min ago | +155 | — |
| FanDuel2 min ago | +162Best | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 1:40 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Under isn't priced at 1.5 right now.


