Jack Hughes

New Jersey Devils · C · #86

EDM @ NJ · Today 7:30 PM

Over Under1.5

Under 1.5 Points, typical price −2297 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Opposing goalie
Tristan Jarry (Confirmed)
Saves: 218 of 245 (.890) over his last 10 games · 5 of EDM's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
EDM allow 5.87 points a game to forwards: 22nd most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 5.20, 26th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 19.1 min · 2026–27: 20.1 (14 games)
Power play: 3.4 min last 5 · 3.6 2026–27
Rest
3 days off since Oct 30 at VGK

60%6 of 10L10

Under 1.5 Points hit in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

vs OTT, 2026-10-12: 1, hit, 20.7 min
at DET, 2026-10-13: 3, missed, 23.5 min
vs NYR, 2026-10-15: 1, hit, 17.6 min
at WSH, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 22.7 min
vs COL, 2026-10-20: 0, hit, 16.9 min
vs ANA, 2026-10-22: 2, missed, 18.8 min
vs LA, 2026-10-24: 1, hit, 19.3 min
at DAL, 2026-10-27: 2, missed, 19.7 min
at COL, 2026-10-28: 0, hit, 20.6 min
at VGK, 2026-10-30: 2, missed, 17.3 min

Under hitMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 points.

Splits

Under 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against EDM in his last 10; Under 1.5 hit in 4 of 5 against EDM on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 1.5 · L10

Jesper BrattLW
Arseny GritsyukRW
Nico HischierC

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Devils count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs EDM

Points: 0 in 19.1 min, Jan 20 (away)

Under 1.5 hit in 4 of 5 games against EDM on record

L10 · Under 1.5

Average: 1.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 70%; at −229
Books’ fair: 65%; margin removed
Our chance: 66%; estimate · fair −198

Research, not a pick. At −214 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −198, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2656 books	pick'em only	3/10
+1757 books	−2292 books	6/10
+5506 books	—	9/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Pinnacle4 min ago	+157	−214Best
DraftKings13 min ago	+180Best	−245
Bally Bet4 min ago	+175	—
betPARX3 min ago	+175	—
BetRivers3 min ago	+175	—
Bovada3 min ago	+180Best	—
FanDuel2 min ago	+172	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:49 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Under isn't priced at 1.5 right now.

Jack Hughes's full game log and splits