Jack Hughes
EDM @ NJ · Today 7:30 PM
Game log against Under 1.5
60%6 of 10L10
Under 1.5 Points hit in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 points.
Count only
Under 1.5 · L10Matchup · 15 games
EDM allow 5.87 points a game to forwards: 22nd most of 32
Rest
3 days off since Oct 30 at VGK
Last vs EDM
Points: 0 in 19.1 min, Jan 20 (away)
Under 1.5 hit in 4 of 5 games against EDM on record
L10 · Under 1.5
- Average
- 1.2
- −0.3 vs line
- Median
- 1
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 70%
- at −235
- Books’ fair
- 65%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 67%
- estimate · fair −199
Research, not a pick. At −235 the price is worse than our fair −199, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2792 books | pick'em only | 3/10 | |
| +1672 books | −2351 book | 6/10 | |
| +5552 books | — | 9/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings5 min ago | +170Best | −235Best |
| FanDuel4 min ago | +164 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 5:52 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Under isn't priced at 1.5 right now.