Jack Eichel

Vegas Golden Knights · C · #9

VGK @ DET · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1186 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 2.5 Shots on Goal hit in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

at NSH, 2026-10-13: 4, missed, 17.9 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-15: 4, missed, 15.3 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 16.8 min
vs TB, 2026-10-20: 0, hit, 19.6 min
at STL, 2026-10-22: 4, missed, 16.8 min
at CBJ, 2026-10-24: 6, missed, 21.7 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-27: 1, hit, 21.3 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-30: 0, hit, 16.4 min
at BOS, 2026-11-02: 1, hit, 25 min
at PIT, 2026-11-03: 1, hit, 21.3 min

Under hitMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 shots on goal.

What's different today

Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayOpposing goalie
Daniil Tarasov (Expected)
Saves: 210 of 227 (.925) over his last 10 games · 4 of DET's last 10 starts · John Gibson started 5
Teammate out
Parker Wotherspoon: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 2.5 without him: 7 of 11; with him: 4 of 6 (17 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
DET allow 17.6 shots on goal a game to forwards: 26th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 16.4, 29th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 21.1 min · 2026–27: 20.1 (17 games)
Power play: 2.3 min last 5 · 3.6 2026–27

Splits

Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DET in his last 10; Under 2.5 hit in 2 of 4 against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 2.5 · L10

Mitch MarnerRW
Victor OlofssonLW
Mark StoneRW
Parker WotherspoonDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Golden Knights count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Shots on Goal: 4 in 23.8 min, Mar 4 (away)

Under 2.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against DET on record

L10 · Under 2.5

Average: 2.1; −0.4 vs line
Median: 1; −1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 54%; at −118
Books’ fair: 52%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −139

Research, not a pick. At −118 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −139, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−20002 books	—	3/10
−3102 books	—	6/10
−1206 books	−1185 books	6/10
+2552 books	—	6/10
+5602 books	—	9/10
+14001 book	—	9/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Bally Bet3 min ago	−120	−118Best
betPARX3 min ago	−120	−118Best
Pinnacle3 min ago	−112	−118Best
FanDuel3 min ago	+100	−130
DraftKings3 min ago	+110Best	−145
BetRivers3 min ago	−120	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Under: −114 → −118 since first seen

Jack Eichel's full game log and splits