Jack Eichel
VGK @ DET · Today 7:00 PM
Game log against Under 2.5
60%6 of 10L10
Under 2.5 Shots on Goal hit in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 shots on goal.
What's different today
Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayOpposing goalie
Daniil Tarasov (Expected)
Saves: 210 of 227 (.925) over his last 10 games · 4 of DET's last 10 starts · John Gibson started 5
Teammate out
Parker Wotherspoon: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 2.5 without him: 7 of 11; with him: 4 of 6 (17 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
DET allow 17.6 shots on goal a game to forwards: 26th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 16.4, 29th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 21.1 min · 2026–27: 20.1 (17 games)
Power play: 2.3 min last 5 · 3.6 2026–27
Splits
Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against DET in his last 10; Under 2.5 hit in 2 of 4 against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 2.5 · L10Mitch MarnerRW
Victor OlofssonLW
Mark StoneRW
Parker WotherspoonDInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Golden Knights count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs DET
Shots on Goal: 4 in 23.8 min, Mar 4 (away)
Under 2.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against DET on record
L10 · Under 2.5
- Average
- 2.1
- −0.4 vs line
- Median
- 1
- −1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 54%
- at −118
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −137
Research, not a pick. At −115 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −137, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −22002 books | — | 3/10 | |
| −3203 books | — | 6/10 | |
| −1147 books | −1185 books | 6/10 | |
| +2453 books | — | 6/10 | |
| +5603 books | — | 9/10 | |
| +13001 book | — | 9/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet4 min ago | −122 | −115Best |
| betPARX3 min ago | −122 | −115Best |
| Pinnacle4 min ago | −112 | −118 |
| FanDuel3 min ago | +100 | −130 |
| DraftKings4 min ago | +105Best | −140 |
| BetRivers4 min ago | −122 | — |
| Bovada3 min ago | −114 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:55 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5Under: −114 → −118 since first seen