Jack Eichel
VGK @ PIT · Today 7:00 PMWhat's different tonight
Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTonightRest · back-to-back
Golden Knights played last night (at BOS): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Parker Wotherspoon: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 1.5 without him: 8 of 10; with him: 2 of 6 (16 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Arturs Silovs (Confirmed)
Saves: 247 of 275 (.898) over his last 10 games · 6 of PIT's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
PIT allow 7.14 points a game to forwards: 8th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 7.60, 5th most
Game log against Under 1.5
80%8 of 10L10
Under 1.5 Points hit in 8 of his last 10 games (5 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 points.
Splits
Under 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 1.5 · L10Mitch MarnerRW
Victor OlofssonLW
Mark StoneRW
Parker WotherspoonDInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Golden Knights count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs PIT
Points: 2 in 16.8 min, Oct 17 (home)
Under 1.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against PIT on record
L10 · Under 1.5
- Average
- 0.8
- −0.7 vs line
- Median
- 0.5
- −1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 8 of 10
- Price implies
- 70%
- at −235
- Books’ fair
- 66%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 69%
- estimate · fair −220
Research, not a pick. At −230 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −220, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2955 books | pick'em only | 5/10 | |
| +1626 books | −2352 books | 8/10 | |
| +4805 books | — | 9/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings7 min ago | +170 | −230Best |
| Pinnacle3 min ago | +175 | −240 |
| Bally Bet3 min ago | +155 | — |
| betPARX2 min ago | +155 | — |
| BetRivers2 min ago | +155 | — |
| FanDuel1 min ago | +200Best | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 2:04 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Under isn't priced at 1.5 right now.


