J.T. Miller

New York Rangers · LW · #10

PHI @ NYR · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1662 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).

vs VAN, 2026-10-11: 1, missed, 18.5 min
vs TB, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 20.3 min
at NJ, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 17.5 min
at CBJ, 2026-10-17: 1, missed, 21.6 min
vs ANA, 2026-10-19: 2, cleared, 19.2 min
at TOR, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 17 min
at OTT, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 18.8 min
vs LA, 2026-10-26: 6, cleared, 20.5 min
vs EDM, 2026-11-01: 2, cleared, 20.2 min
vs STL, 2026-11-03: 4, cleared, 20.2 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 shots on goal.

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Opposing goalie
Dan Vladar (Expected)
Saves: 256 of 288 (.889) over his last 10 games · 6 of PHI's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
PHI allow 21.6 shots on goal a game to forwards: 5th most of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 19.0, 21st most
Time on ice
Last 5: 19.3 min · 2026–27: 18.8 (16 games)
Power play: 1.7 min last 5 · 2.9 2026–27
Rest
1 day off since Nov 3 vs STL

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against PHI in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 2 of 6 against PHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Adam FoxD
Alexis LafreniereLW
Mika ZibanejadC

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Rangers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHI

Miller didn't play the Mar 9 meeting; shots on goal the last time Miller faced them: 0 (Feb 26)

Over 1.5 hit in 2 of 6 games against PHI on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.9; +0.4 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 62%; at −166
Books’ fair: 58%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −131

Research, not a pick. At −165 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −131, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−9001 book	—	9/10
−1662 books	+1242 books	4/10
+1951 book	—	2/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
FanDuel2 min ago	−165Best	+126Best
Pinnacle2 min ago	−166	+124
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:29 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: −160 → −166 since first seen

J.T. Miller's full game log and splits