J.T. Miller

New York Rangers · LW · #10

STL @ NYR · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −1966 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Opposing goalie
Joel Hofer (Expected)
Saves: 263 of 287 (.916) over his last 10 games · 7 of STL's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
STL allow 3.71 assists a game to forwards: 16th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 3.40, 21st most
Time on ice
Last 5: 19.1 min · 2026–27: 18.7 (15 games)
Power play: 1.9 min last 5 · 2.8 2026–27
Rest
1 day off since Nov 1 vs EDM

60%6 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

at WSH, 2026-10-09: 1, missed, 20.9 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-11: 2, missed, 18.5 min
vs TB, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 20.3 min
at NJ, 2026-10-15: 0, hit, 17.5 min
at CBJ, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 21.6 min
vs ANA, 2026-10-19: 0, hit, 19.2 min
at TOR, 2026-10-22: 0, hit, 17 min
at OTT, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 18.8 min
vs LA, 2026-10-26: 0, hit, 20.5 min
vs EDM, 2026-11-01: 0, hit, 20.2 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 lineTime on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–1 assists.

Count only

Under 0.5 · L10

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Adam FoxD
Alexis LafreniereLW
Mika ZibanejadC

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Rangers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs STL

Assists: 0 in 21 min, Dec 18, 2025 (away)

Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 2 games against STL on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 66%; at −196
Books’ fair: 62%; margin removed
Our chance: 65%; estimate · fair −183

Research, not a pick. At −183 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −183, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1556 books	−1962 books	6/10
	+8692 books	—	9/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Pinnacle14 min ago	+136	−183Best
DraftKings14 min ago	+155	−210
Bally Bet13 min ago	+160Best	—
betPARX4 min ago	+155	—
BetRivers5 min ago	+155	—
FanDuel6 min ago	+144	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:24 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

J.T. Miller's full game log and splits