Ivar Stenberg
SJ @ MIN · Today 8:00 PMGame log against Under 0.5
75%6 of 8L17 · Without Wennberg
Under 0.5 Assists hit in 6 of 8 games without Alexander Wennberg (his last 17 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 assists.
What's different today
Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayTeammate out
Alexander Wennberg: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 6 of 8; with him: 5 of 9 (17 games as teammates)
TodayDefense vs forwards
MIN allow 2.65 assists a game to forwards: 31st most of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 2.50, the fewest
Teammate out
Igor Chernyshov: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 5 of 6; with him: 6 of 11 (17 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Jesper Wallstedt (Confirmed)
Saves: 223 of 245 (.910) over his last 10 games · 9 of MIN's last 10 starts
Splits
Under 0.5 · L17 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 0.5 · L17Macklin CelebriniC
Alexander WennbergCInjured Reserve
Will SmithC
Igor ChernyshovLWInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Sharks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MIN
Stenberg didn't play the Dec 31, 2025 meeting
L17 · Without Wennberg · Under 0.5
- Average
- 0.3
- −0.2 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 75%
- 6 of 8
- Price implies
- 74%
- at −285
- Books’ fair
- 68%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 69%
- estimate · fair −225
Research, not a pick. At −248 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −225, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L17 · Without Wennberg| Line | Over | Under | L17 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +1905 books | −2852 books | 6/8 | |
| +14001 book | — | 8/8 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle5 min ago | +180 | −248Best |
| DraftKings5 min ago | +205Best | −285 |
| Bally Bet5 min ago | +190 | — |
| betPARX4 min ago | +190 | — |
| BetRivers4 min ago | +190 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 5:19 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Under: −255 → −285 since first seen


