Ilya Mikheyev

Tampa Bay Lightning · RW · #95

DET @ TB · Tue, Nov 3 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price +1021 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different yesterday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Yanni Gourde: Injured Reserve (hip)
Over 1.5 without him: 6 of 13; with him: no games (13 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Zemgus Girgensons: Out (lower body)
Over 1.5 without him: 0 of 2; with him: 6 of 11 (13 games as teammates). A small sample.
Opposing goalie
Daniil Tarasov started DET's last game
Saves: 216 of 237 (.911) over his last 10 games · 3 of DET's last 10 starts · John Gibson started 6 · no probable starter posted yet
Defense vs forwards
DET allow 17.4 shots on goal a game to forwards: 27th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 17.5, 27th most

50%5 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

vs MIN, 2026-10-08: 2, cleared, 15.1 min
at NYI, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 15.3 min
at NYR, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 13.8 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-15: 3, cleared, 15 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-17: 2, cleared, 15.7 min
at VGK, 2026-10-20: 2, cleared, 17.6 min
at COL, 2026-10-23: 1, missed, 13.9 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-24: 2, cleared, 13.3 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 16.1 min
at NSH, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 13.7 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DET in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 1 of 4 against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Brandon HagelLW
Nikita KucherovRW
Jake GuentzelC
Yanni GourdeCInjured Reserve
Zemgus GirgensonsCOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Lightning count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Mikheyev didn't play the Apr 13 meeting; shots on goal the last time Mikheyev faced them: 2 (Dec 13, 2025)

Over 1.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 1.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 50%; at +102
Books’ fair: 46%; margin removed
Time on ice: 15; 10 games · 17.4 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 46%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1021 book	−1411 book	5/10

Compare 1 sportsbook at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Bally Bet6 hr ago	+102Best	−141Best

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over +104 → +102 since first seen

Ilya Mikheyev's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.