Gavin McKenna

Toronto Maple Leafs · LW · #92

MTL @ TOR · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1124 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L17 · Without Tavares

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 6 of 10 games without John Tavares (his last 17 games).

vs MTL, 2026-09-29: 1, missed, 15.3 min (not counted)
vs NYI, 2026-09-30: 1, missed, 15.6 min (not counted)
vs OTT, 2026-10-03: 1, missed, 12.8 min (not counted)
vs NSH, 2026-10-06: 4, cleared, 14.8 min (not counted)
at VGK, 2026-10-08: 1, missed, 14.1 min (not counted)
at COL, 2026-10-10: 2, cleared, 15.4 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-13: 2, cleared, 17.1 min (not counted)
vs BUF, 2026-10-15: 1, missed, 6.6 min (not counted)
vs NYI, 2026-10-17: 4, cleared, 17.9 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-19: 1, missed, 11.5 min
at CBJ, 2026-10-20: 2, cleared, 13 min
vs NYR, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 10.7 min
at EDM, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 11.5 min
at CGY, 2026-10-26: 1, missed, 14.8 min
at SEA, 2026-10-28: 3, cleared, 15.6 min
at VAN, 2026-10-31: 3, cleared, 13 min
vs UTAH, 2026-11-03: 2, cleared, 15.9 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
John Tavares: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 1.5 without him: 6 of 10; with him: 2 of 7 (17 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Kirill Marchenko: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 1.5 without him: 3 of 3; with him: 5 of 14 (17 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Max Domi: Injured Reserve (back)
Over 1.5 without him: 8 of 17; with him: no games (17 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Jacob Fowler (Expected)
Saves: 249 of 270 (.922) over his last 10 games · 6 of MTL's last 10 starts

Splits

Over 1.5 · L17 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L17

William NylanderRW
Auston MatthewsC
John TavaresCInjured Reserve
Kirill MarchenkoRWInjured Reserve
Max DomiCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Maple Leafs count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MTL

Shots on Goal: 1 in 15.3 min, Sep 29 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against MTL on record

L17 · Without Tavares · Over 1.5

Average: 2; +0.5 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −112
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Time on ice: 13.9; 10 games

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 48%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L17 · Without Tavares

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L17
	−1124 books	−1273 books	6/10
	+8001 book	—	1/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings2 min ago	−105Best	−130
Bally Bet2 min ago	−112	−127Best
betPARX2 min ago	−112	−127Best
BetRivers4 min ago	−112	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:09 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: −106 → −112 since first seen

Gavin McKenna's full game log and splits