Gavin McKenna

Toronto Maple Leafs · LW · #92

UTAH @ TOR · Tue, Nov 3 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price +1103 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different yesterday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayTeammate out
John Tavares: Out (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 5 of 9; with him: 3 of 7 (16 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Kirill Marchenko: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 1 of 2; with him: 7 of 14 (16 games as teammates). A small sample.
Teammate out
Max Domi: Injured Reserve (back)
Over 0.5 without him: 8 of 16; with him: no games (16 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Karel Vejmelka started UTAH's last game
Saves: 209 of 242 (.864) over his last 10 games · 8 of UTAH's last 10 starts · no probable starter posted yet

56%5 of 9L16 · Without Tavares

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 5 of 9 games without John Tavares (his last 16 games).

vs MTL, 2026-09-29: 0, missed, 15.3 min (not counted)
vs NYI, 2026-09-30: 0, missed, 15.6 min (not counted)
vs OTT, 2026-10-03: 0, missed, 12.8 min (not counted)
vs NSH, 2026-10-06: 2, cleared, 14.8 min (not counted)
at VGK, 2026-10-08: 1, cleared, 14.1 min (not counted)
at COL, 2026-10-10: 1, cleared, 15.4 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-13: 1, cleared, 17.1 min (not counted)
vs BUF, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 6.6 min (not counted)
vs NYI, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 17.9 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-19: 1, cleared, 11.5 min
at CBJ, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 13 min
vs NYR, 2026-10-22: 1, cleared, 10.7 min
at EDM, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 11.5 min
at CGY, 2026-10-26: 0, missed, 14.8 min
at SEA, 2026-10-28: 3, cleared, 15.6 min
at VAN, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 13 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L16 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L16

William NylanderRW
Auston MatthewsC
John TavaresCOut
Kirill MarchenkoRWInjured Reserve
Max DomiCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Maple Leafs count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs UTAH

Points: 1 in 17.1 min, Oct 13 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against UTAH on record

L16 · Without Tavares · Over 0.5

Average: 0.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 56%; 5 of 9
Price implies: 48%; at +110
Books’ fair: 43%; margin removed
Time on ice: 13.7; 9 games

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 43%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L16 · Without Tavares

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L16
	+1103 books	−1602 books	5/9
	+5862 books	—	1/9

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings8 hr ago	+125Best	−170
Pinnacle8 hr ago	+110	−150Best
Bally Bet8 hr ago	+106	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +112 → +110 since first seen

Gavin McKenna's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.