Gage Goncalves

Tampa Bay Lightning · C · #93

CHI @ TB · Live

Over Under1.5

Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −2001 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Under 1.5 Shots on Goal hit in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

vs MIN, 2026-10-08: 0, hit, 16.2 min
at NYI, 2026-10-10: 0, hit, 18.2 min
at NYR, 2026-10-13: 1, hit, 16.3 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-17: 2, missed, 16.8 min
at VGK, 2026-10-20: 0, hit, 15.5 min
at COL, 2026-10-23: 3, missed, 18 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-24: 2, missed, 16.4 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-29: 1, hit, 12.3 min
at NSH, 2026-10-31: 1, hit, 12.7 min
vs DET, 2026-11-03: 0, hit, 16.7 min

Under hitMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–3 shots on goal.

What's different yesterday

Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayOpposing goalie
Arvid Soderblom (Confirmed)
Saves: 268 of 307 (.873) over his last 10 games · 1 of CHI's last 10 starts · Spencer Knight started 9
YesterdayDefense vs forwards
CHI allow 22.8 shots on goal a game to forwards: 2nd most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 23.5, 2nd most
Teammate out
Yanni Gourde: Injured Reserve (hip)
Under 1.5 without him: 9 of 13; with him: 57 of 81 (94 games as teammates)
Time on ice
Last 5: 15.2 min · 2026–27: 15.6 (13 games)
Power play: 1.4 min last 5 · 1.2 2026–27

Splits

Under 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CHI in his last 10; Under 1.5 hit in 1 of 3 against CHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 1.5 · L10

Nikita KucherovRW
Brandon HagelLW
Jake GuentzelC
Yanni GourdeCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Lightning count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CHI

Shots on Goal: 2 in 15.3 min, Jan 23 (away)

Under 1.5 hit in 1 of 3 games against CHI on record

L10 · Under 1.5

Average: 1; −0.5 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 67%; at −200
Books’ fair: 61%; margin removed
Our chance: 63%; estimate · fair −169

Research, not a pick. At −200 the price is worse than our fair −169, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1351 book	−2001 book	7/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Bally Bet7 hr ago	+135Best	−200Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Under isn't priced at 1.5 right now.

Gage Goncalves's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:09 PM ET.