Gage Goncalves

Tampa Bay Lightning · C · #93

DET @ TB · Tue, Nov 3 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price +1151 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different yesterday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Yanni Gourde: Injured Reserve (hip)
Over 1.5 without him: 4 of 12; with him: 24 of 81 (93 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Zemgus Girgensons: Out (lower body)
Over 1.5 without him: 0 of 3; with him: 28 of 83 (86 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Daniil Tarasov started DET's last game
Saves: 216 of 237 (.911) over his last 10 games · 3 of DET's last 10 starts · John Gibson started 6 · no probable starter posted yet
Defense vs forwards
DET allow 17.4 shots on goal a game to forwards: 27th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 17.5, 27th most

40%4 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).

vs PHI, 2026-10-05: 2, cleared, 16.2 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-08: 0, missed, 16.2 min
at NYI, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 18.2 min
at NYR, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 16.3 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-17: 2, cleared, 16.8 min
at VGK, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 15.5 min
at COL, 2026-10-23: 3, cleared, 18 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-24: 2, cleared, 16.4 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-29: 1, missed, 12.3 min
at NSH, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 12.7 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DET in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 2 of 6 against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Brandon HagelLW
Nikita KucherovRW
Jake GuentzelC
Yanni GourdeCInjured Reserve
Zemgus GirgensonsCOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Lightning count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Shots on Goal: 1 in 15.2 min, Apr 13 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 2 of 6 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 47%; at +115
Books’ fair: 43%; margin removed
Time on ice: 15.9; 10 games · 13.2 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 43%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3501 book	—	7/10
+1151 book	−1601 book	4/10
+3701 book	—	1/10
+10001 book	—	0/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings7 hr ago	+115Best	−160Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over +110 → +115 since first seen

Gage Goncalves's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.