Gabriel Vilardi

Winnipeg Jets · C · #13

VAN @ WPG · Thu, Nov 5 8:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1901 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

75%9 of 12L20 · Without Morrissey

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 9 of 12 games without Josh Morrissey (his last 20 games).

vs PHI, 2026-04-11: 1, missed, 17.5 min (not counted)
at VGK, 2026-04-13: 2, cleared, 17.9 min (not counted)
at UTAH, 2026-04-14: 1, missed, 17.7 min (not counted)
vs SJ, 2026-04-16: 0, missed, 17.4 min (not counted)
vs BOS, 2026-10-02: 1, missed, 18.1 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-10-04: 2, cleared, 14.7 min (not counted)
at PIT, 2026-10-05: 3, cleared, 14.4 min (not counted)
vs COL, 2026-10-07: 2, cleared, 14.4 min (not counted)
vs ANA, 2026-10-09: 2, cleared, 18.6 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 18.9 min
at CHI, 2026-10-15: 2, cleared, 16.5 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-17: 2, cleared, 18.8 min
at STL, 2026-10-20: 2, cleared, 17.8 min
at DAL, 2026-10-22: 2, cleared, 19.7 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-25: 2, cleared, 18.5 min
vs FLA, 2026-10-27: 3, cleared, 14.2 min
at TB, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 19.1 min
at FLA, 2026-10-30: 1, missed, 20.1 min
at CAR, 2026-11-01: 2, cleared, 17 min
at MTL, 2026-11-03: 3, cleared, 25.2 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different yesterday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayTeammate out
Josh Morrissey: Injured Reserve (wrist)
Over 1.5 without him: 11 of 17; with him: 50 of 86 (103 games as teammates)
YesterdayDefense vs forwards
VAN allow 24.4 shots on goal a game to forwards: the most of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 24.4, the most
Teammate out
Vladislav Namestnikov: Injured Reserve (undisclosed)
Over 1.5 without him: 16 of 32; with him: 46 of 72 (104 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Kevin Lankinen started VAN's last game
Saves: 206 of 254 (.811) over his last 10 games · 3 of VAN's last 10 starts · Leevi Merilainen started 7 · no probable starter posted yet

Splits

Over 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against VAN in his last 20; Over 1.5 cleared in 5 of 7 against VAN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L20

Kyle ConnorLW
Mark ScheifeleC
Josh MorrisseyDInjured Reserve
Vladislav NamestnikovCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Jets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs VAN

Shots on Goal: 2 in 21.4 min, Mar 7 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 5 of 7 games against VAN on record

L20 · Without Morrissey · Over 1.5

Average: 1.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 75%; 9 of 12
Price implies: 66%; at −190
Books’ fair: 61%; margin removed
Time on ice: 18.7; 12 games · 18.7 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 61%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Morrissey

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−9001 book	—	10/12
−1901 book	+1401 book	9/12
+1451 book	—	2/12
+3601 book	—	0/12
+8501 book	—	0/12
+20001 book	—	0/12

Compare 1 sportsbook at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings5 hr ago	−190Best	+140Best

Prices as of 7:27 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

2.5 → 1.5 since first seen

Gabriel Vilardi's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:28 PM ET.