Gabriel Vilardi

Winnipeg Jets · C · #13

VAN @ WPG · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −1455 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

67%8 of 12L20 · Without Morrissey

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 8 of 12 games without Josh Morrissey (his last 20 games).

vs PHI, 2026-04-11: 0, hit, 17.5 min (not counted)
at VGK, 2026-04-13: 1, missed, 17.9 min (not counted)
at UTAH, 2026-04-14: 2, missed, 17.7 min (not counted)
vs SJ, 2026-04-16: 0, hit, 17.4 min (not counted)
vs BOS, 2026-10-02: 1, missed, 18.1 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-10-04: 1, missed, 14.7 min (not counted)
at PIT, 2026-10-05: 0, hit, 14.4 min (not counted)
vs COL, 2026-10-07: 0, hit, 14.4 min (not counted)
vs ANA, 2026-10-09: 0, hit, 18.6 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 18.9 min
at CHI, 2026-10-15: 0, hit, 16.5 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 18.8 min
at STL, 2026-10-20: 1, missed, 17.8 min
at DAL, 2026-10-22: 0, hit, 19.7 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-25: 1, missed, 18.5 min
vs FLA, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 14.2 min
at TB, 2026-10-29: 0, hit, 19.1 min
at FLA, 2026-10-30: 0, hit, 20.1 min
at CAR, 2026-11-01: 0, hit, 17 min
at MTL, 2026-11-03: 1, missed, 25.2 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 assists.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Josh Morrissey: Injured Reserve (wrist)
Under 0.5 without him: 13 of 17; with him: 48 of 86 (103 games as teammates)
TodayDefense vs forwards
VAN allow 5.00 assists a game to forwards: the most of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 4.60, 4th most
Teammate out
Vladislav Namestnikov: Injured Reserve (undisclosed)
Under 0.5 without him: 22 of 32; with him: 39 of 72 (104 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Leevi Merilainen (Confirmed)
Saves: 271 of 302 (.897) over his last 10 games · 7 of VAN's last 10 starts

Splits

Under 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against VAN in his last 20; Under 0.5 hit in 5 of 7 against VAN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L20

Kyle ConnorLW
Mark ScheifeleC
Josh MorrisseyDInjured Reserve
Vladislav NamestnikovCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Jets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs VAN

Assists: 0 in 21.4 min, Mar 7 (home)

Under 0.5 hit in 5 of 7 games against VAN on record

L20 · Without Morrissey · Under 0.5

Average: 0.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 67%; 8 of 12
Price implies: 59%; at −145
Books’ fair: 55%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −156

Research, not a pick. At −145 the price beats our fair −156, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Morrissey

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−1145 books	−1451 book	8/12
+4202 books	—	12/12
+14001 book	—	12/12

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings3 min ago	+105Best	−145Best
Bally Bet2 min ago	−114	—
betPARX1 min ago	−114	—
BetRivers2 min ago	−114	—
FanDuel1 min ago	−128	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:15 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Gabriel Vilardi's full game log and splits