Gabe Perreault

New York Rangers · RW · #94

STL @ NYR · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1576 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Sean Durzi: Out (undisclosed)
Over 1.5 without him: 1 of 1; with him: 7 of 14 (15 games as teammates). A small sample.
Opposing goalie
Joel Hofer (Confirmed)
Saves: 263 of 287 (.916) over his last 10 games · 7 of STL's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
STL allow 19.7 shots on goal a game to forwards: 19th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 20.1, 15th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 17.1 min · 2026–27: 16.6 (15 games)
Power play: 1 min last 5 · 1.4 2026–27

70%7 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

at WSH, 2026-10-09: 3, cleared, 16.5 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-11: 2, cleared, 18.9 min
vs TB, 2026-10-13: 2, cleared, 19.9 min
at NJ, 2026-10-15: 1, missed, 15.7 min
at CBJ, 2026-10-17: 6, cleared, 18.6 min
vs ANA, 2026-10-19: 4, cleared, 15.7 min
at TOR, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 19.4 min
at OTT, 2026-10-24: 3, cleared, 14.9 min
vs LA, 2026-10-26: 1, missed, 17.1 min
vs EDM, 2026-11-01: 2, cleared, 18.2 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–4 shots on goal.

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against STL in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 0 of 1 against STL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Adam FoxD
Alexis LafreniereLW
Mika ZibanejadC
Sean DurziDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Rangers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs STL

Shots on Goal: 1 in 13.2 min, Dec 18, 2025 (away)

Over 1.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against STL on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 2.5; +1 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 61%; at −157
Books’ fair: 58%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −146

Research, not a pick. At −146 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −146, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−8003 books	—	10/10
−1576 books	+1123 books	7/10
+2253 books	—	4/10
+3801 book	—	2/10
+9001 book	—	1/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
FanDuel2 min ago	−146Best	—
Bovada2 min ago	−148	—
Bally Bet2 min ago	−157	+112
betPARX1 min ago	−157	+112
BetRivers1 min ago	−157	—
DraftKings6 min ago	−180	+130Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:13 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over −148 → −157 since first seen

Gabe Perreault's full game log and splits