Frank Nazar
CHI @ TB · LiveGame log against Under 0.5
60%6 of 10L10
Under 0.5 Points hit in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.
What's different yesterday
Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickYesterdayTeammate out
Patrick Kane: Out (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 0 of 1; with him: 9 of 13 (14 games as teammates). A small sample.
YesterdayRest · back-to-back
Blackhawks played the day before (at FLA): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Bowen Byram: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 7 of 10; with him: 2 of 4 (14 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Andrei Vasilevskiy (Confirmed)
Saves: 211 of 239 (.883) over his last 10 games · 8 of TB's last 10 starts
Splits
Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against TB in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 against TB on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 0.5 · L10Connor BedardC
Roman KantserovRW
Patrick KaneRWOut
Bowen ByramDInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Blackhawks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs TB
Points: 0 in 20.6 min, Jan 23 (home)
Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against TB on record
L10 · Under 0.5
- Average
- 0.5
- ±0 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 64%
- at −175
- Books’ fair
- 59%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 59%
- estimate · fair −146
Research, not a pick. At −170 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −146, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +1253 books | −1752 books | 6/10 | |
| +5752 books | — | 9/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle12 hr ago | +125 | −170Best |
| DraftKings12 hr ago | +130Best | −175 |
| Bally Bet12 hr ago | +123 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.
This page last updated 7:09 PM ET.


