Evgeni Malkin

Pittsburgh Penguins · C · #71

BOS @ PIT · Live

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1623 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%3 of 6L20 · Without Rust

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 3 of 6 games without Bryan Rust (his last 20 games).

at WSH, 2026-04-12: 2, cleared, 18.4 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-04-18: 1, missed, 20.5 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-04-20: 2, cleared, 17.3 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-04-22: 2, cleared, 20.1 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-04-25: 0, missed, 15.7 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-04-27: 0, missed, 14.4 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-04-29: 3, cleared, 19.7 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-09-30: 2, cleared, 15.8 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-03: 1, missed, 19.7 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-05: 4, cleared, 17.8 min
at WSH, 2026-10-07: 1, missed, 17.4 min (not counted)
at CBJ, 2026-10-09: 3, cleared, 17.5 min (not counted)
vs DAL, 2026-10-10: 2, cleared, 19.9 min (not counted)
at CHI, 2026-10-13: 3, cleared, 20.4 min (not counted)
at COL, 2026-10-16: 2, cleared, 17 min (not counted)
at VGK, 2026-10-17: 2, cleared, 12.9 min (not counted)
at UTAH, 2026-10-19: 1, missed, 16.6 min (not counted)
vs FLA, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 12.9 min
vs UTAH, 2026-10-29: 4, cleared, 16.5 min
at MTL, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 17.9 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–4 shots on goal.

What's different yesterday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayTeammate out
Bryan Rust: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 1.5 without him: 6 of 12; with him: 44 of 61 (73 games as teammates)
YesterdayOpposing goalie
Michael DiPietro (Confirmed)
Saves: 118 of 127 (.929) over his last 5 games · 3 of BOS's last 10 starts · Jeremy Swayman started 7
Teammate out
Trevor van Riemsdyk: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 1.5 without him: 5 of 8; with him: 3 of 5 (13 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ryan Graves: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 1.5 without him: 31 of 46; with him: 12 of 15 (61 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against BOS in his last 20; Over 1.5 cleared in 2 of 8 against BOS on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L20

Erik KarlssonD
Sidney CrosbyC
Bryan RustRWInjured Reserve
Trevor van RiemsdykDInjured Reserve
Ryan GravesDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Penguins count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs BOS

Malkin didn't play the Mar 8 meeting; shots on goal the last time Malkin faced them: 2 (Mar 3)

Over 1.5 hit in 2 of 8 games against BOS on record

L20 · Without Rust · Over 1.5

Average: 2.2; +0.7 vs line
Median: 1.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 3 of 6
Price implies: 62%; at −162
Books’ fair: 58%; margin removed
Our chance: 60%; estimate · fair −148

Research, not a pick. At −160 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −148, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Rust

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−7001 book	—	6/6
−1623 books	+1203 books	3/6
+1751 book	—	2/6
+4251 book	—	2/6
+11001 book	—	0/6

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings14 hr ago	−160Best	+120
Bally Bet14 hr ago	−162	+115
Pinnacle14 hr ago	−166	+124Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

−168 → −162 since first seen

Evgeni Malkin's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:10 PM ET.