Evan Bouchard

Edmonton Oilers · D · #2

VAN @ EDM · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Assists, typical price −2456 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

90%9 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Assists cleared in 9 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 at home).

at UTAH, 2026-10-17: 1, cleared, 24.1 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-20: 1, cleared, 28.3 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-22: 1, cleared, 30 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-24: 2, cleared, 26.2 min
vs DET, 2026-10-26: 0, missed, 32 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-28: 1, cleared, 22.2 min
at NYI, 2026-10-31: 1, cleared, 22 min
at NYR, 2026-11-01: 2, cleared, 25.7 min
at NJ, 2026-11-03: 1, cleared, 27.4 min
vs ANA, 2026-11-05: 1, cleared, 24.2 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 assists.

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayDefense vs defensemen
VAN allow 2.61 assists a game to defensemen: the most of 32
18 games · last 10 games: 2.70, the most
Teammate out
Matt Savoie: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 15 of 17; with him: 54 of 88 (105 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Zach Hyman: Injured Reserve (neck)
Over 0.5 without him: 25 of 42; with him: 52 of 78 (120 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Leevi Merilainen (Expected)
Saves: 271 of 307 (.883) over his last 10 games · 7 of VAN's last 10 starts

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against VAN in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 6 of 9 against VAN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Connor McDavidC
Leon DraisaitlC
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsC
Matt SavoieCInjured Reserve
Zach HymanLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Oilers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs VAN

Assists: 2 in 24.4 min, Oct 1 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 6 of 9 games against VAN on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1.1; +0.6 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 90%; 9 of 10
Price implies: 71%; at −245
Books’ fair: 65%; margin removed
Our chance: 68%; estimate · fair −213

Research, not a pick. At −213 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −213, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2456 books	+1651 book	9/10
+1856 books	—	2/10
+7503 books	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bovada6 min ago	−213Best	—
DraftKings7 min ago	−220	+165Best
FanDuel3 min ago	−235	—
Bally Bet6 min ago	−245	—
betPARX3 min ago	−250	—
BetRivers3 min ago	−250	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:57 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

−225 → −245 since first seen

Evan Bouchard's full game log and splits