Evan Bouchard
ANA @ EDM · Today 8:00 PMGame log against Over 0.5
90%9 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Assists cleared in 9 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 assists.
What's different today
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Matt Savoie: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 14 of 16; with him: 54 of 88 (104 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Zach Hyman: Injured Reserve (neck)
Over 0.5 without him: 24 of 41; with him: 53 of 79 (120 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Lukas Dostal (Expected)
Saves: 226 of 263 (.859) over his last 10 games · 5 of ANA's last 10 starts
Defense vs defensemen
ANA allow 1.73 assists a game to defensemen: 14th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 2.10, 6th most
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against ANA in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 11 of 14 against ANA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 0.5 · L10Connor McDavidC
Leon DraisaitlC
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsC
Matt SavoieCInjured Reserve
Zach HymanLWInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Oilers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs ANA
Assists: 1 in 23.2 min, Oct 7 (away)
Over 0.5 hit in 11 of 14 games against ANA on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 1.1
- +0.6 vs line
- Median
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 90%
- 9 of 10
- Price implies
- 64%
- at −179
- Books’ fair
- 61%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 66%
- estimate · fair −196
Research, not a pick. At −178 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −196, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1793 books | +1342 books | 9/10 | |
| +2252 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +8002 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel1 min ago | −178Best | — |
| Pinnacle12 min ago | −179 | +134 |
| DraftKings12 min ago | −200 | +145Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 5:09 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over: −170 → −179 since first seen


