Erik Karlsson

Pittsburgh Penguins · D · #65

BOS @ PIT · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −1755 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

75%6 of 8L20 · Without Rust

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 6 of 8 games without Bryan Rust (his last 20 games).

vs PHI, 2026-04-20: 0, missed, 27.5 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-04-22: 1, cleared, 29 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-04-25: 1, cleared, 26.8 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-04-27: 0, missed, 26.4 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-04-29: 0, missed, 36.4 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-09-30: 1, cleared, 20 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-03: 2, cleared, 19.6 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-05: 1, cleared, 24 min
at WSH, 2026-10-07: 0, missed, 24.7 min (not counted)
at CBJ, 2026-10-09: 1, cleared, 24.8 min (not counted)
vs DAL, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 27.2 min (not counted)
at CHI, 2026-10-13: 2, cleared, 20.4 min (not counted)
at COL, 2026-10-16: 1, cleared, 21 min (not counted)
at VGK, 2026-10-17: 1, cleared, 21.9 min (not counted)
at UTAH, 2026-10-19: 2, cleared, 27.7 min (not counted)
vs FLA, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 24.2 min
vs NSH, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 26.2 min
vs UTAH, 2026-10-29: 1, cleared, 21.5 min
at MTL, 2026-10-31: 3, cleared, 23.6 min
vs VGK, 2026-11-03: 0, missed, 24.7 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

4 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Bryan Rust playing; Rust is out today. Without him: Over 0.5 in 7 of 14.

TodayTeammate out
Bryan Rust: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 7 of 14; with him: 46 of 80 (94 games as teammates)
TodayDefense vs defensemen
BOS allow 1.50 points a game to defensemen: 31st most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 1.70, 27th most
Teammate out
Trevor van Riemsdyk: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 7 of 10; with him: 4 of 5 (15 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ryan Graves: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 36 of 64; with him: 10 of 18 (82 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against BOS in his last 20; Over 0.5 cleared in 4 of 8 against BOS on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

Sidney CrosbyC
Bryan RustRWInjured Reserve
Evgeni MalkinCDay-To-Day
Trevor van RiemsdykDInjured Reserve
Ryan GravesDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Penguins count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs BOS

Points: 2 in 24.3 min, Mar 8 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 4 of 8 games against BOS on record

L20 · Without Rust · Over 0.5

Average: 1.1; +0.6 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 75%; 6 of 8
Price implies: 64%; at −175
Books’ fair: 60%; margin removed
Time on ice: 23; 8 games · 24 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 60%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Rust

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−1755 books	+1351 book	6/8
+2705 books	—	2/8
+8505 books	—	1/8

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet14 min ago	−175Best	—
betPARX5 min ago	−175Best	—
BetRivers6 min ago	−175Best	—
DraftKings14 min ago	−180	+135Best
FanDuel5 min ago	−186	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:23 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: −196 → −175 since first seen

Erik Karlsson's full game log and splits