Erik CernakDay-To-Day

Tampa Bay Lightning · D · #81

DET @ TB · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +7504 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Yanni Gourde: Injured Reserve (hip)
Over 0.5 without him: 0 of 12; with him: 3 of 68 (80 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Zemgus Girgensons: Out (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 0 of 2; with him: 3 of 71 (73 games as teammates). A small sample.
Opposing goalie
John Gibson (Expected)
Saves: 191 of 222 (.860) over his last 10 games · 6 of DET's last 10 starts
Defense vs defensemen
DET allow 0.53 goals a game to defensemen: 9th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 0.60, 7th most

0%0 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 0 of his last 10 games (0 of 5 at home).

vs PHI, 2026-10-05: 0, missed, 22.3 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-08: 0, missed, 19.5 min
at NYI, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 19 min
at NYR, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 17 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 14.9 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 21.5 min
at VGK, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 20.5 min
at COL, 2026-10-23: 0, missed, 16.7 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 21 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 19.1 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineTime on ice

Count only

Over 0.5 · L10

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Brandon HagelLW
Nikita KucherovRW
Jake GuentzelC
Yanni GourdeCInjured Reserve
Zemgus GirgensonsCOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Lightning count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Goals: 1 in 19.7 min, Apr 13 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 6 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0; −0.5 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 0%; 0 of 10
Price implies: 12%; at +750
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Time on ice: 19.2; 10 games · 17.8 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+7504 books	pick'em only	0/10
	+120003 books	—	0/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
FanDuel4 min ago	+1400Best	—
Bally Bet16 min ago	+750	—
betPARX7 min ago	+750	—
BetRivers4 min ago	+750	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:49 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over No move since first seen

Erik Cernak's full game log and splits