Egor Chinakhov

Pittsburgh Penguins · RW · #59

PIT @ LA · Today 9:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Points, typical price −2053 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

63%5 of 8L20 · Without Rust

Under 0.5 Points hit in 5 of 8 games without Bryan Rust (his last 20 games).

vs WSH, 2026-04-11: 0, hit, 16.1 min
at WSH, 2026-04-12: 0, hit, 17 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-04-18: 0, hit, 16.3 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-04-20: 0, hit, 15.8 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-04-22: 0, hit, 10.5 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-04-25: 0, hit, 15.3 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-04-27: 0, hit, 12 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-04-29: 0, hit, 16.7 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-09-30: 1, missed, 17 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-03: 1, missed, 18 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-05: 0, hit, 14 min
at WSH, 2026-10-07: 0, hit, 15.5 min (not counted)
at CBJ, 2026-10-09: 0, hit, 14.6 min (not counted)
vs DAL, 2026-10-10: 0, hit, 15.9 min (not counted)
at CHI, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 16.3 min (not counted)
at UTAH, 2026-10-19: 1, missed, 15.5 min (not counted)
vs UTAH, 2026-10-29: 1, missed, 16.3 min
at MTL, 2026-10-31: 0, hit, 14.4 min
vs VGK, 2026-11-03: 0, hit, 11.3 min
vs BOS, 2026-11-05: 0, hit, 15.7 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 points.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Bryan Rust: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Under 0.5 without him: 7 of 14; with him: 24 of 47 (61 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Trevor van Riemsdyk: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Under 0.5 without him: 5 of 7; with him: 3 of 5 (12 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ryan Graves: Injured Reserve (knee)
Under 0.5 without him: 29 of 57; with him: 2 of 4 (61 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Anton Forsberg (Expected)
Saves: 239 of 264 (.905) over his last 10 games · 5 of LA's last 10 starts

Splits

Under 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against LA in his last 20; Under 0.5 hit in 3 of 3 against LA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L20

Erik KarlssonD
Sidney CrosbyC
Bryan RustRWInjured Reserve
Trevor van RiemsdykDInjured Reserve
Ryan GravesDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Penguins count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs LA

Chinakhov didn't play the Nov 9, 2025 meeting; points the last time Chinakhov faced them: 0 (Nov 9, 2024)

Under 0.5 hit in 3 of 3 games against LA on record

L20 · Without Rust · Under 0.5

Average: 0.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 63%; 5 of 8
Price implies: 67%; at −205
Books’ fair: 63%; margin removed
Our chance: 65%; estimate · fair −186

Research, not a pick. At −205 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −186, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Rust

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
+1503 books	−2052 books	5/8
+8001 book	—	8/8
+30001 book	—	8/8

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings6 min ago	+150Best	−205Best
Pinnacle6 min ago	+150Best	−205Best
FanDuel5 min ago	+136	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:04 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Egor Chinakhov's full game log and splits