Eeli Tolvanen

New York Rangers · RW · #17

STL @ NYR · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price +1251 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Sean Durzi: Out (undisclosed)
Over 1.5 without him: 1 of 1; with him: 5 of 14 (15 games as teammates). A small sample.
Opposing goalie
Joel Hofer started STL's last game
Saves: 263 of 287 (.916) over his last 10 games · 7 of STL's last 10 starts · no probable starter posted yet
Defense vs forwards
STL allow 19.7 shots on goal a game to forwards: 19th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 20.1, 15th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 11.5 min · 2026–27: 12.5 (15 games)
Power play: 0.5 min last 5 · 1 2026–27

40%4 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

at WSH, 2026-10-09: 2, cleared, 11.8 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-11: 2, cleared, 12.1 min
vs TB, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 14.3 min
at NJ, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 12.9 min
at CBJ, 2026-10-17: 2, cleared, 11.1 min
vs ANA, 2026-10-19: 1, missed, 13.8 min
at TOR, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 12.2 min
at OTT, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 11 min
vs LA, 2026-10-26: 0, missed, 8.8 min
vs EDM, 2026-11-01: 2, cleared, 11.7 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against STL in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 5 of 7 against STL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Adam FoxD
Alexis LafreniereLW
Mika ZibanejadC
Sean DurziDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Rangers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs STL

Tolvanen didn't play the Dec 18, 2025 meeting; shots on goal the last time Tolvanen faced them: 2 (Mar 4)

Over 1.5 hit in 5 of 7 games against STL on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.1; −0.4 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 44%; at +125
Books’ fair: 41%; margin removed
Time on ice: 12; 10 games · 16.1 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 41%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1251 book	−1771 book	4/10

Compare 1 sportsbook at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Bally Bet5 hr ago	+125Best	−177Best

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over +105 → +125 since first seen

Eeli Tolvanen's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.