Dylan Strome

Washington Capitals · C · #17

DAL @ WSH · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −1527 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 6 of his last 10 games (5 of 8 at home).

vs NYR, 2026-10-09: 1, missed, 14.3 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-11: 0, hit, 19.6 min
at CAR, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 18.3 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-14: 0, hit, 18.9 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 18 min
vs LA, 2026-10-20: 0, hit, 19 min
vs BUF, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 21 min
vs PHI, 2026-10-28: 3, missed, 15.8 min
at NSH, 2026-10-29: 0, hit, 15.9 min
vs MIN, 2026-11-01: 0, hit, 18.5 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 lineTime on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 assists.

Count only

Under 0.5 · L10

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Jack St. IvanyD
Alex TuchRW
Pierre-Luc DuboisLW
Rasmus SandinDInjured Reserve
Vincent DesharnaisDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Capitals count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Matchup · 14 games

DAL allow 2.21 assists a game to forwards: the fewest of 32

Rest

1 day off since Nov 1 vs MIN

Last vs DAL

Assists: 0 in 20.8 min, Jan 7 (home)

Under 0.5 hit in 3 of 3 games against DAL on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.6; +0.1 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 60%; at −152
Books’ fair: 56%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −128

Research, not a pick. At −150 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −128, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
+1327 books	−1522 books	6/10
+6753 books	—	9/10
+22001 book	—	9/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings13 min ago	+110	−150Best
Pinnacle13 min ago	+117	−155
Bally Bet13 min ago	+132	—
betPARX4 min ago	+133Best	—
BetRivers2 min ago	+133Best	—
Bovada12 min ago	+116	—
FanDuel4 min ago	+132	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:29 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.