Dylan Holloway

St. Louis Blues · LW · #81

STL @ NJ · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1757 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 2.5 Shots on Goal hit in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

at OTT, 2026-10-13: 1, hit, 16 min
at MIN, 2026-10-15: 2, hit, 23.3 min
at NSH, 2026-10-17: 2, hit, 19.6 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-20: 1, hit, 17.4 min
vs VGK, 2026-10-22: 3, missed, 18.7 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-24: 4, missed, 17.1 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-27: 5, missed, 18.4 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-29: 0, hit, 15.4 min
at DET, 2026-10-31: 1, hit, 16.9 min
at NYR, 2026-11-03: 5, missed, 17.5 min

Under hitMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–4 shots on goal.

What's different today

Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayOpposing goalie
Connor Hellebuyck (Confirmed)
Saves: 195 of 223 (.874) over his last 10 games · 3 of NJ's last 10 starts · Jake Allen started 5
Teammate out
Logan Mailloux: Injured Reserve (hand)
Under 2.5 without him: 20 of 28; with him: 19 of 46 (74 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Tyler Tucker: Injured Reserve (knee)
Under 2.5 without him: 14 of 27; with him: 25 of 47 (74 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
NJ allow 16.9 shots on goal a game to forwards: 29th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 15.8, the fewest

Splits

Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NJ in his last 10; Under 2.5 hit in 2 of 4 against NJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 2.5 · L10

Jimmy SnuggerudRW
Robert ThomasC
Philip BrobergD
Logan MaillouxDInjured Reserve
Tyler TuckerDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Blues count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NJ

Shots on Goal: 5 in 19.4 min, Feb 28 (home)

Under 2.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against NJ on record

L10 · Under 2.5

Average: 2.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 2; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 64%; at −175
Books’ fair: 59%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −140

Research, not a pick. At −170 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −140, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−12003 books	—	1/10
−2053 books	+1401 book	4/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	4/10
+1257 books	−1755 books	6/10
+3703 books	—	7/10
+9001 book	—	8/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Bovada6 min ago	+130	−170Best
Pinnacle2 min ago	+125	−170Best
Bally Bet2 min ago	+120	−175
betPARX1 min ago	+120	−175
FanDuel1 min ago	+146	−192
BetRivers1 min ago	+120	—
DraftKings2 min ago	+150Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:10 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

1.5 → 2.5 since first seen

Dylan Holloway's full game log and splits