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Dougie Hamilton
EDM @ NJ · Today 7:30 PM
Game log against Under 0.5
70%7 of 10L10
Under 0.5 Points hit in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–1 points.
Count only
Under 0.5 · L10Matchup · 15 games
EDM allow 1.67 points a game to defensemen: 29th most of 32
Rest
3 days off since Oct 30 at VGK
Last vs EDM
Points: 1 in 19.9 min, Jan 20 (away)
Under 0.5 hit in 1 of 3 games against EDM on record
L10 · Under 0.5
- Average
- 0.4
- −0.1 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 64%
- at −175
- Books’ fair
- 59%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 62%
- estimate · fair −160
Research, not a pick. At −175 the price is worse than our fair −160, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +1301 book | −1751 book | 7/10 | |
| +7501 book | — | 9/10 |
Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings9 min ago | +130Best | −175Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 4:19 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Under No move since first seen