Denver Barkey

Philadelphia Flyers · C · #86

PHI @ NYR · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −3804 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 7 of his last 10 games (1 of 3 on the road).

vs SEA, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 15.5 min
at DET, 2026-10-15: 0, hit, 15.5 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 15.7 min
vs COL, 2026-10-19: 1, missed, 16.7 min
at BUF, 2026-10-21: 1, missed, 12.3 min
vs ANA, 2026-10-24: 0, hit, 15.2 min
vs CBJ, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 15.5 min
at WSH, 2026-10-28: 1, missed, 14.7 min
vs UTAH, 2026-11-01: 0, hit, 15.8 min
vs MIN, 2026-11-03: 0, hit, 13.5 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 assists.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayOpposing goalie
James Reimer (Expected)
Saves: 157 of 178 (.882) over his last 10 games · 0 of NYR's last 10 starts · Dylan Garand started 9
Teammate out
Rasmus Ristolainen: Injured Reserve (hand)
Under 0.5 without him: 11 of 19; with him: 40 of 48 (67 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
NYR allow 3.25 assists a game to forwards: 24th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 4.00, 9th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 14.9 min · 2026–27: 14.6 (14 games)
Power play: 4 min last 5 · 2.9 2026–27

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NYR in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 against NYR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Trevor ZegrasC
Matvei MichkovRW
Oliver BonkD
Rasmus RistolainenDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Flyers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NYR

Assists: 0 in 13.6 min, Mar 9 (home)

Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against NYR on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 79%; at −380
Books’ fair: 74%; margin removed
Our chance: 71%; estimate · fair −247

Research, not a pick. At −380 the price is worse than our fair −247, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+2304 books	−3801 book	7/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings12 min ago	+265Best	−380Best
Bally Bet11 min ago	+230	—
betPARX8 min ago	+230	—
BetRivers6 min ago	+230	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:05 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Denver Barkey's full game log and splits