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Dawson Mercer

Winnipeg Jets · C · #91

WPG @ MTL · Live
OverUnder1.5
Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1081 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 1.5

60%3 of 5L20 · Without Morrissey

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 3 of 5 games without Josh Morrissey (his last 20 games).

  1. vs PHI, 2026-04-07: 1, missed, 17.8 min (not counted)
  2. vs PIT, 2026-04-09: 0, missed, 17.4 min (not counted)
  3. at DET, 2026-04-11: 3, cleared, 21 min (not counted)
  4. vs OTT, 2026-04-12: 5, cleared, 18.9 min (not counted)
  5. at BOS, 2026-04-14: 2, cleared, 16.4 min (not counted)
  6. vs PHI, 2026-10-01: 3, cleared, 16.1 min (not counted)
  7. at NYI, 2026-10-03: 3, cleared, 15 min (not counted)
  8. vs UTAH, 2026-10-06: 2, cleared, 11.1 min (not counted)
  9. vs VAN, 2026-10-10: 3, cleared, 14.2 min (not counted)
  10. vs OTT, 2026-10-12: 1, missed, 13.8 min (not counted)
  11. at DET, 2026-10-13: 3, cleared, 17.3 min (not counted)
  12. vs NYR, 2026-10-15: 3, cleared, 15.9 min (not counted)
  13. at WSH, 2026-10-17: 1, missed, 17.1 min (not counted)
  14. vs COL, 2026-10-20: 2, cleared, 16.6 min (not counted)
  15. vs ANA, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 13.9 min (not counted)
  16. vs MTL, 2026-10-25: 2, cleared, 15.4 min
  17. vs FLA, 2026-10-27: 1, missed, 16.1 min
  18. at TB, 2026-10-29: 3, cleared, 14.6 min
  19. at FLA, 2026-10-30: 2, cleared, 18.2 min
  20. at CAR, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 15.7 min
ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different on Tuesday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TueTeammate out

    Josh Morrissey: Injured Reserve (wrist)

    Over 1.5 without him: 3 of 5; with him: no games (5 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Vladislav Namestnikov: Injured Reserve (undisclosed)

    Over 1.5 without him: 3 of 5; with him: no games (5 games as teammates)

  • New team

    5 games with WPG; before that, NJ

    Over 1.5 with WPG: 3 of 5; his last 10 games before: 7 of 10

  • Opposing goalie

    Jacob Fowler started MTL's last game

    Saves: 239 of 256 (.934) over his last 10 games · 7 of MTL's last 10 starts · no probable starter posted yet

Splits

Over 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L20

  • Kyle ConnorLW

  • Mark ScheifeleC

  • Josh MorrisseyDInjured Reserve

  • Vladislav NamestnikovCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out on Tuesday. Only games they were teammates on the Jets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MTL

Shots on Goal: 2 in 15.4 min, Oct 25 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 3 of 7 games against MTL on record

L20 · Without Morrissey · Over 1.5

Average
1.6
+0.1 vs line
Median
2
+0.5 vs line
Hit rate
60%
3 of 5
Price implies
52%
at −108
Books’ fair
48%
margin removed
Time on ice
16
5 games · 18.2 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 48%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Morrissey
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
−1081 book−1291 book3/5
Compare 1 sportsbook at 1.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 1.5Under 1.5
Bally Bet2 days ago−108Best−129Best

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: −114 → −108 since first seen

Dawson Mercer's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.