Danila Yurov

Minnesota Wild · RW · #22

MIN @ PHI · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Points, typical price −2055 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Brock Faber: Injured Reserve (skull)
Under 0.5 without him: 10 of 18; with him: 56 of 80 (98 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Nick Foligno: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 11 of 15; with him: 18 of 27 (42 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Dan Vladar (Confirmed)
Saves: 265 of 298 (.889) over his last 10 games · 5 of PHI's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
PHI allow 6.69 points a game to forwards: 12th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 5.90, 21st most

70%7 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Points hit in 7 of his last 10 games (6 of 7 on the road).

at WPG, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 14.5 min
vs STL, 2026-10-15: 1, missed, 15.4 min
vs CBJ, 2026-10-18: 1, missed, 15 min
at EDM, 2026-10-20: 0, hit, 14.9 min
at CGY, 2026-10-22: 0, hit, 19.5 min
at SEA, 2026-10-24: 0, hit, 17 min
at VAN, 2026-10-25: 0, hit, 13 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 13.5 min
vs NYI, 2026-10-29: 0, hit, 18 min
at WSH, 2026-11-01: 1, missed, 14.9 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–1 points.

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against PHI in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 2 against PHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Kirill KaprizovLW
Quinn HughesD
Matt BoldyLW
Brock FaberDInjured Reserve
Nick FolignoLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Wild count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHI

Points: 0 in 12.8 min, Mar 12 (home)

Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 2 games against PHI on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 67%; at −205
Books’ fair: 63%; margin removed
Our chance: 64%; estimate · fair −178

Research, not a pick. At −205 the price is worse than our fair −178, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1705 books	−2051 book	7/10
	+9005 books	—	10/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings13 min ago	+150	−205Best
Bally Bet6 min ago	+170Best	—
betPARX3 min ago	+170Best	—
BetRivers3 min ago	+170Best	—
Bovada6 min ago	+170Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 4:33 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Danila Yurov's full game log and splits