Cutter Gauthier
ANA @ CGY · Today 8:00 PMGame log against Over 3.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 3.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–6 shots on goal.
What's different today
Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayRest · back-to-back
Ducks played the day before (at EDM): a back-to-back
3rd straight road game
Teammate out
Troy Terry: Injured Reserve (hip)
Over 3.5 without him: 23 of 35; with him: 32 of 68 (103 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ryan Poehling: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 3.5 without him: 10 of 18; with him: 45 of 85 (103 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Dustin Wolf (Expected)
Saves: 249 of 283 (.880) over his last 10 games · 5 of CGY's last 10 starts
Splits
Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against CGY in his last 10; Over 3.5 cleared in 4 of 8 against CGY on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 3.5 · L10Leo CarlssonC
Beckett SenneckeRW
Jackson LaCombeD
Troy TerryRWInjured Reserve
Ryan PoehlingCInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Ducks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs CGY
Gauthier didn't play the Oct 13 meeting; shots on goal the last time Gauthier faced them: 0 (Oct 10)
Over 3.5 hit in 4 of 8 games against CGY on record
L10 · Over 3.5
- Average
- 4.5
- +1 vs line
- Median
- 4
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 64%
- at −179
- Books’ fair
- 57%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −134
Research, not a pick. At −156 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −134, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −20002 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −4602 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1792 books | +1201 book | 7/10 | |
| +1222 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +2302 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +4502 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +8501 book | — | 1/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel5 min ago | −156Best | +120Best |
| Bovada5 min ago | −179 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 2:05 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
3.54.5 → 3.5 since first seen


