Cutter Gauthier

Anaheim Ducks · LW · #61

ANA @ EDM · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under3.5

Over 3.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1354 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).

at CGY, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 2.3 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-16: 4, cleared, 21.3 min
at NYR, 2026-10-19: 5, cleared, 16.2 min
at NYI, 2026-10-20: 2, missed, 17.5 min
at NJ, 2026-10-22: 2, missed, 19 min
at PHI, 2026-10-24: 4, cleared, 18.6 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-27: 4, cleared, 16.5 min
vs BUF, 2026-10-29: 10, cleared, 22.3 min
vs OTT, 2026-11-01: 5, cleared, 19 min
at VAN, 2026-11-03: 6, cleared, 18.5 min

ClearedMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–6 shots on goal.

What's different today

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Troy Terry: Injured Reserve (hip)
Over 3.5 without him: 23 of 34; with him: 32 of 68 (102 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ryan Poehling: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 3.5 without him: 10 of 17; with him: 45 of 85 (102 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Tristan Jarry (Expected)
Saves: 224 of 248 (.903) over his last 10 games · 6 of EDM's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
EDM allow 18.8 shots on goal a game to forwards: 22nd most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 19.6, 17th most

Splits

Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against EDM in his last 10; Over 3.5 cleared in 8 of 14 against EDM on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 3.5 · L10

Leo CarlssonC
Beckett SenneckeRW
Jackson LaCombeD
Troy TerryRWInjured Reserve
Ryan PoehlingCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Ducks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs EDM

Shots on Goal: 7 in 24.2 min, Oct 7 (home)

Over 3.5 hit in 8 of 14 games against EDM on record

L10 · Over 3.5

Average: 4.2; +0.7 vs line
Median: 4; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 57%; at −135
Books’ fair: 54%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −136

Research, not a pick. At −130 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −136, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−80001 book	—	9/10
−13003 books	—	9/10
−3352 books	—	7/10
−1354 books	+1043 books	7/10
+1623 books	—	4/10
+3003 books	—	2/10
+6503 books	—	1/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
Bovada1 min ago	−130Best	—
Pinnacle2 min ago	−131	−101
FanDuel1 min ago	−135	+104
DraftKings2 min ago	−150	+110Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:00 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Over: −148 → −135 since first seen

Cutter Gauthier's full game log and splits