Connor Bedard
CHI @ CAR · Today 8:00 PM
Game log against Over 2.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–5 shots on goal.
What's different today
Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick4 of his last 6 came with Patrick Kane playing; Kane is out today. Without him: Over 2.5 in 2 of 2.
TodayTeammate out
Patrick Kane: Out (upper body)
Over 2.5 without him: 2 of 2; with him: 6 of 9 (11 games as teammates). A small sample.
Teammate out
Bowen Byram: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 2.5 without him: 7 of 10; with him: 1 of 1 (11 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Pyotr Kochetkov (Expected)
Saves: 196 of 212 (.925) over his last 10 games · 7 of CAR's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
CAR allow 17.5 shots on goal a game to forwards: 28th most of 32
18 games · last 10 games: 18.7, 23rd most
Splits
Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against CAR in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 2 of 6 against CAR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 2.5 · L10Roman KantserovRW
Patrick KaneRWOut
Frank NazarC
Bowen ByramDInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Blackhawks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs CAR
Bedard didn't play the Oct 10 meeting; shots on goal the last time Bedard faced them: 3 (Apr 9)
Over 2.5 hit in 2 of 6 games against CAR on record
L10 · Over 2.5
- Average
- 3.2
- +0.7 vs line
- Median
- 3
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −120
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −139
Research, not a pick. At −118 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −139, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −16001 book | — | 10/10 | |
| −3603 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −1207 books | −1105 books | 7/10 | |
| +1983 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +4303 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +9001 book | — | 1/10 | |
| +19001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada3 min ago | −118Best | — |
| FanDuel3 min ago | −118Best | −110Best |
| Pinnacle4 min ago | −118Best | −112 |
| DraftKings4 min ago | −120 | −115 |
| Bally Bet4 min ago | −127 | −110Best |
| betPARX3 min ago | −127 | −110Best |
| BetRivers3 min ago | −127 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:05 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5Over: −118 → −120 since first seen