Connor Bedard
CHI @ CAR · Today 8:00 PM
Game log against Over 0.5
80%8 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Points cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.
What's different today
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick7 of his 8 hits in the last 10 came with Patrick Kane playing; Kane is out today. Without him: Over 0.5 in 1 of 2.
TodayTeammate out
Patrick Kane: Out (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 1 of 2; with him: 8 of 9 (11 games as teammates). A small sample.
Teammate out
Bowen Byram: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 8 of 10; with him: 1 of 1 (11 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Pyotr Kochetkov (Expected)
Saves: 196 of 212 (.925) over his last 10 games · 7 of CAR's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
CAR allow 5.00 points a game to forwards: 29th most of 32
18 games · last 10 games: 4.80, 31st most
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against CAR in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 2 of 6 against CAR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 0.5 · L10Roman KantserovRW
Patrick KaneRWOut
Frank NazarC
Bowen ByramDInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Blackhawks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs CAR
Bedard didn't play the Oct 10 meeting; points the last time Bedard faced them: 0 (Apr 9)
Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 6 games against CAR on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 1.1
- +0.6 vs line
- Median
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 8 of 10
- Price implies
- 60%
- at −152
- Books’ fair
- 57%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 63%
- estimate · fair −167
Research, not a pick. At −150 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −167, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1527 books | +1152 books | 8/10 | |
| +3206 books | pick'em only | 3/10 | |
| +10602 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada3 min ago | −150Best | — |
| FanDuel1 min ago | −150Best | — |
| Bally Bet4 min ago | −152 | — |
| betPARX5 min ago | −152 | — |
| BetRivers3 min ago | −152 | — |
| DraftKings4 min ago | −155 | +115Best |
| Pinnacle4 min ago | −155 | +115Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:05 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5−158 → −152 since first seen