Connor Bedard
CHI @ TB · Today 7:00 PMGame log against Over 0.5
90%9 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Points cleared in 9 of his last 10 games (3 of 3 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.
What's different today
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick6 of his last 7 came with Patrick Kane playing; Kane is out today. Without him: Over 0.5 in 1 of 1.
TodayTeammate out
Patrick Kane: Out (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 1 of 1; with him: 8 of 9 (10 games as teammates). A small sample.
TodayRest · back-to-back
Blackhawks played the day before (at FLA): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Bowen Byram: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 8 of 9; with him: 1 of 1 (10 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Andrei Vasilevskiy (Expected)
Saves: 211 of 239 (.883) over his last 10 games · 8 of TB's last 10 starts
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against TB in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against TB on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 0.5 · L10Roman KantserovRW
Patrick KaneRWOut
Anton FrondellC
Bowen ByramDInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Blackhawks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs TB
Points: 0 in 21.6 min, Jan 23 (home)
Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against TB on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 1.2
- +0.7 vs line
- Median
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 90%
- 9 of 10
- Price implies
- 64%
- at −180
- Books’ fair
- 60%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 66%
- estimate · fair −197
Research, not a pick. At −175 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −197, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1806 books | +1352 books | 9/10 | |
| +2755 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +9005 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet4 min ago | −175Best | — |
| betPARX3 min ago | −175Best | — |
| BetRivers3 min ago | −175Best | — |
| DraftKings4 min ago | −180 | +135Best |
| Pinnacle4 min ago | −181 | +135Best |
| FanDuel3 min ago | −194 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 1:20 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5−170 → −180 since first seen


