Connor Bedard

Chicago Blackhawks · C · #98

CHI @ TB · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −2002 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

90%9 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 9 of his last 10 games (3 of 3 on the road).

vs PIT, 2026-10-13: 1, cleared, 21.1 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-15: 2, cleared, 19.1 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 20.7 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-23: 1, cleared, 20.1 min
vs FLA, 2026-10-25: 1, cleared, 23.2 min
vs LA, 2026-10-27: 1, cleared, 19.4 min
at DET, 2026-10-29: 1, cleared, 18.4 min
at BOS, 2026-10-31: 2, cleared, 22.1 min
vs COL, 2026-11-02: 1, cleared, 21.3 min
at FLA, 2026-11-04: 2, cleared, 22.4 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

6 of his last 7 came with Patrick Kane playing; Kane is out today. Without him: Over 0.5 in 1 of 1.

TodayTeammate out
Patrick Kane: Out (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 1 of 1; with him: 8 of 9 (10 games as teammates). A small sample.
TodayRest · back-to-back
Blackhawks played the day before (at FLA): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Bowen Byram: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 8 of 9; with him: 1 of 1 (10 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Andrei Vasilevskiy (Expected)
Saves: 211 of 239 (.883) over his last 10 games · 8 of TB's last 10 starts

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TB in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against TB on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Roman KantserovRW
Patrick KaneRWOut
Anton FrondellC
Bowen ByramDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Blackhawks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TB

Points: 0 in 21.6 min, Jan 23 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against TB on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1.2; +0.7 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 90%; 9 of 10
Price implies: 67%; at −200
Books’ fair: 60%; margin removed
Our chance: 66%; estimate · fair −196

Research, not a pick. At −180 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −196, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2002 books	+1351 book	9/10
+2402 books	—	3/10
+8302 books	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings14 min ago	−180Best	+135Best
FanDuel3 min ago	−200	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:55 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

−170 → −200 since first seen

Connor Bedard's full game log and splits